Hurricane Florence, Trade Storm, EM Squall: Economics Week Ahead

Hurricane Florence, Trade Storm, EM Squall: Economics Week Ahead

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Hurricane Florence is poised to batter the Carolina coast, potentially dampening September hiring and third-quarter gross domestic product. The prospect of fresh talks between the U.S. and China raises hopes the trade storm will blow less fiercely. We think those hopes will be frustrated. Turkey’s larger-than-expected rate hike neutralized one of the policy missteps that drove the emerging market sell off. That’s good news, but structural weakness persist, and are set to increase into 2019….

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Legal Battle Looms Over South Africa’s Land-Seizure Plans

Legal Battle Looms Over South Africa’s Land-Seizure Plans

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – A legal battle may be looming over plans by South Africa’s ruling party to change the constitution to make it easier to expropriate land without paying for it, with widely divergent views over the process that needs to be followed. Land seizures could violate the founding provision in section 1 of the constitution, which guarantees human dignity, rights and freedoms, outlaws racism and ensures the supremacy of the rule…

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Get Ready for Big Bitcoin: Cryptocurrency Industry Opens a D.C. Lobbying Arm

Get Ready for Big Bitcoin: Cryptocurrency Industry Opens a D.C. Lobbying Arm

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – The price of bitcoin may be down, compared with last year’s meteoric heights. But industry officials aren’t waiting for the next spike in investor demand to launch a charm offensive targeting federal lawmakers and regulators who’ve taken an interest in cryptocurrencies. Tech veterans and a number of high-profile cryptocurrency companies on Tuesday said they are forming the Blockchain Association, the first fully fledged lobbying group in Washington representing entrepreneurs…

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Bitcoin Bulls Are Sweating Latest Test of Key Resistance Level

Bitcoin Bulls Are Sweating Latest Test of Key Resistance Level

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – Bitcoin’s recent stumble could turn into a full-blown tailspin, testing its strong support level of $6,000 again, according to a leading technical indicator. The biggest cryptocurrency has bounced off the $6,000 mark four times since February, and a break below that price could signal further capitulation. The GTI VERA Convergence Divergence indicator, which detects trend reversals and exhaustion, just ended its longest buy streak since July, suggesting more losses…

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The Black Grit That Beat Bitcoin’s Rally and Didn’t Slump

The Black Grit That Beat Bitcoin’s Rally and Didn’t Slump

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – China’s push for blue skies has caused an obscure steelmaking ingredient to fuel gains of as much as 2,600 percent since the start of 2017 for the few companies that supply it, minting at least one new billionaire. The material is graphite, a form of carbon that has seen demand soar because of its use in electric-vehicle batteries and the lower-pollution steel mills that China is favoring to clean up its…

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Speculative Danish Bitcoin Loss Eligible for Tax Subsidy

Speculative Danish Bitcoin Loss Eligible for Tax Subsidy

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Bitcoin isn’t treated as currency by the Danish tax authority. Danish tax subsidies can be applied to losses from speculation on bitcoin, Denmark’s tax authority told a taxpayer who lost nearly 24,000 kroner ($3,722) trading the cryptocurrency. That means bitcoin investments are covered by laws on speculation and assumed to be a commodity purchased for the purposes of speculation only, and therefore aren’t treated as currency, the tax authority…

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Seven EM Countries at Risk of Exchange-Rate Crisis, Nomura Says

Seven EM Countries at Risk of Exchange-Rate Crisis, Nomura Says

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Seven emerging economies at risk of an exchange-rate crisis are Sri Lanka, South Africa, Argentina, Pakistan, Egypt, Turkey and Ukraine, according to a new analysis by Nomura Holdings Inc. With five of the seven already in a currency crisis or a program run by the International Monetary Fund, that leaves South Africa and Pakistan as the standouts. At the same time, the eight countries with the lowest risk of…

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