Next Week Becomes Less Daunting for Rand Traders as Swings Ebb

Next Week Becomes Less Daunting for Rand Traders as Swings Ebb

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – For the first time since August, traders are less concerned about the rand’s immediate future than the longer-term outlook for the currency. One-week implied volatility for the rand against the dollar fell below one-month volatility this week, with the three-month, six-month and one-year measures dropping even lower. That’s a turnaround from a month ago, when short-term volatility surged amid a sell-off sparked by crises in Argentina and Turkey. The…

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Ugandan Exchange Sees More IPOs as Cipla Breaks Six-Year Drought

Ugandan Exchange Sees More IPOs as Cipla Breaks Six-Year Drought

KAMPALA (Capital Markets in Africa) – Uganda’s stock exchange is in talks with three companies about listing, after Indian drugmaker Cipla Ltd.’s domestic unit ended a six-year drought with its bourse debut. One of the companies may launch an initial public offering in the next six months, Uganda Securities Exchange Chief Executive Officer Paul Bwiso said in an interview Monday in the capital, Kampala. The bourse has been buoyed by a new government initiative to support the…

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What to Watch in Commodities: OPEC, Iron Ore, Gas, Trade, Storms

What to Watch in Commodities: OPEC, Iron Ore, Gas, Trade, Storms

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Commodity investors have a busy docket this week, with near-term headlines set to be dominated by the damage wrought by Hurricane Florence in the U.S. and its far-flung Asian cousin, Typhoon Mangkhut. There’s also likely be squalls for raw materials from the U.S.-China trade war, with metals including copper sinking on Monday on concern more levies may hit. Beyond the bad weather, there’s a trio of a meeting that’ll command attention, with…

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Money Markets Signal Surprise S. Africa Rate Hike as Rand Falls

Money Markets Signal Surprise S. Africa Rate Hike as Rand Falls

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa’s battered rand may receive an unexpected boost from the central bank this week if money-market rates are anything to go by. While only three out of 19 economists in a Bloomberg survey are predicting a South African Reserve Bank rate increase on Thursday, traders have been adding bets on a surprise hike. Forward-rate agreements are now putting the odds of a 25 basis-point hike at more than 50 percent,…

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Ignoring Crash, Bitcoin Tracking Pioneer Loads Up Full Basket

Ignoring Crash, Bitcoin Tracking Pioneer Loads Up Full Basket

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Undaunted by the crash in cryptocurrencies, the company that created the first exchange-traded Bitcoin trackers now wants to offer a whole basket of digital currencies to bet on. The plan is to launch an exchange-traded product based on a basket of 5 to 10 such currencies before the end of the year, according to Stockholm-based XBT Provider AB. This is “something that the market is looking for,” said Laurent Kssis,…

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MTN Is Said to Consider Jonas as Chairman to Replace Nhleko

MTN Is Said to Consider Jonas as Chairman to Replace Nhleko

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – MTN Group Ltd. is considering a replacement for long-time Chairman Phuthuma Nhleko, with South Africa’s former Deputy Finance Minister Mcebisi Jonas lined up as his possible successor, according to people familiar with the matter. Africa’s biggest wireless carrier by subscribers was mulling a change before the eruption last month of a crisis in Nigeria, where authorities are demanding more than $10 billion in back taxes and funds they allege were illegally transferred, said…

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Mystery of the $2 Billion Bitcoin Whale That Fuelled a Rout

Mystery of the $2 Billion Bitcoin Whale That Fuelled a Rout

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – When Bitcoin plunged as much as 15 percent over two days last week, a theory emerged — where else? — on the Internet: a whale was on the move. Speculation mounted that a major holder of cryptocurrency with an electronic wallet that dated back to 2011 — long before anyone had heard of HODL — was moving to sell. His or her wallet had once had as many as 111,114 Bitcoins, which at their peak…

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