Economy | - Part 86

Rwanda Upgraded To ‘B+’ On Diminishing External Financing Risks; Outlook Stable

Overview • Risks to Rwanda’s external financing are reducing owing to stable donor flows and the government’s ability to access the capital markets. • Real GDP growth rates have rebounded to more than 6.0% in 2014 from the 2013 low of 4.6%, and we project 7% GDP growth for Rwanda in 2015-2018. Fiscal consolidation is on track, and deficits are narrowing. • We are raising our long-term ratings on Rwanda to ‘B+’ from ‘B’ and…

Nigeria: Weakening Economic Outlook Driven by Low Oil Prices

Posted on by The Editorial Team

Introduction The recent sharp drop in oil prices is taking a heavy toll on Nigeria, the sixth largest net exporter of oil in the world. In 2015, economic activity is projected to slow and the fiscal and current accounts are expected to deteriorate. Although Nigeria has some room to live with higher fiscal and current account deficits in the short term, the economy has limited fiscal and external buffers (low levels of the Excess Crude…

Lower oil prices to strain net exporters, offer respite to importers

Posted on by The Editorial Team

Lower oil prices will reverse the financial performance of oil exporters and importers in 2015, with exporters’ public finances coming under renewed pressure and importers given some help in reducing their deficits, Moody’s Investors Service says in a report published today. Moody’s report, entitled “Global Oil Price Shock: Challenges for Oil-Exporting Sovereigns, Breathing Space for Importers” is available on www.moodys.com. The impact of cheaper energy means oil exporters face worsening fiscal and external balances, with some…

Moody’s affirms Angola Ba2 ratings, changes outlook to negative

Posted on by The Editorial Team

London, 03 March 2015 — Moody’s Investors Service has today affirmed Angola’s Ba2 government bond rating and changed the rating outlook to negative from stable. The short term ratings remain unchanged at Not Prime. Key drivers for today’s decision include: The rating affirmation at Ba2 is supported by Angola’s intrinsic economic strength and the government’s financial buffers. The negative rating outlook is driven by the downside risks stemming from the oil price decline to economic…

Bank of Botswana says Inflationary Outlook Positive

Posted on by The Editorial Team

Interest rates are expected to remain favourable as inflation outlook remains positive and economists are predicting an accommodative monetary policy. Bank of Botswana states in the Monetary Policy statement released on Tuesday March 3 that given the global and domestic economic outlook and inflationary trends, inflation is expected to remain within the 3 – 6 per cent objective range in the short to medium term. Global outlook forecast for this year is forecast at 3.5…

World Bank sees Kenya’s GDP growth at 6.0 pct in 2015

Posted on by The Editorial Team

NAIROBI (Reuters) – Kenya is due to become one of the fastest-growing economies in east Africa, with a growth forecast of 6.0 percent in 2015 and 6.6 percent in 2016, the World Bank said on Thursday, citing falling oil prices and bigger infrastructure investments. Kenya’s economy grew by an estimated 5.4 percent in 2014, the bank said in its latest economic update, while growth could accelerate to 7.0 percent in 2017. “After growing an estimated…

Morocco’s outlook improves, external risks remain

Posted on by The Editorial Team

The International Monetary Fund projected Morocco’s real GDP growth to rebound to 4.4% in 2015 from 2.9% in 2014, supported by improved external demand, strengthened domestic confidence and normalized agricultural output. It expected real GDP growth to average more than 5% annually over the medium term, reflecting the ongoing modernization of the agriculture sector, the continued expansion of Moroccan firms in new markets, the growing importance of newly developed sectors, as well as higher investment…

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