The Markets

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – Uncertainty, uncertainty and more uncertainty. For investors in U.K. home builders, the word has been a bane for more than three years as the industry contends with the hit to consumer confidence caused by Britain’s prolonged departure from the European Union. Now there is an election coming and investors in the sector are hoping for a Conservative victory to help solidify this year’s rally, which has seen big players…

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – Benchmark Treasury yields have trailed U.S. nominal growth rates for almost a decade — and will continue to do so for at least into the 2040s as the nation’s debt mounts, according to Deutsche Bank AG’s Jim Reid. Fiscal policy will play a bigger role in supporting future growth in the world’s largest economy, entailing more borrowings, and monetary policy would need to keep interest rates capped to help ease…

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) – It has never been this calm in the euro-dollar options market and it’s starting to look like a structural shift toward persistent low volatility. There were record lows for one- and three-month volatility in the common currency Wednesday, following similar moves in longer tenors at previous sessions. While the expected calm of Christmas holidays may explain the move over the one-month horizon, the trend runs further out and maybe…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – The pound slipped as polls showed the ruling Conservative party’s lead narrowing into a December election, with the tightening race raising investor fears about an inconclusive result. The U.K. currency weakened versus all of its Group-of-10 peers as the latest surveys of voting intention showed the opposition Labour party making up some ground following the release of its manifesto last week. The most positive outcome for investors betting the…

NEW YORK (Capital Markets in Africa) – Using the word “black” for anything associated with the stock market usually denotes a certain panic. But days ahead of retailers’ Black Friday and the usual frenzied consumer hysteria, it appeared stocks were seeing that same type of buyer’s excitation. Caution was in the wind nearly at the outset Monday after one of the few elements holding a larger rally at bay — reports the “Phase Two” trade…

NEW YORK (Capital Markets in Africa) – A buyout frenzy is taking hold of boardrooms from Tokyo to San Francisco, and it’s adding fuel to a record-breaking rally across the world’s major stock markets. More than $70 billion of deals have already been announced this week, with Charles Schwab Corp.’s $26 billion buyouts of discount brokerage TD Ameritrade Holding Corp. leading the pack. Luxury goods giant LVMH, Swiss drugmaker Novartis AG and Japanese conglomerate Mitsubishi…

NEW YORK (Capital Markets in Africa) – The manager of some of the largest investment funds in Canada is favoring European and Asian stocks over North American. Sarah Riopelle, senior portfolio manager at RBC Global Asset Management Inc., boosted her equity allocation by 2 percentage points to 59% over the past month as she shifts her focus to markets outside of the U.S. and Canada.  “Valuations are very cheap, reasonable within Europe and fundamentals seem…