Interview

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Coronavirus (COVID-19) creates fear and uncertainty, hitting the global economy and amplifying the volatility of the financial markets. The oil price reaction to COVID-19 was gradually accommodated until March 09, 2020, when, 49 days after the release of the first coronavirus monitoring report by the World Health Organization (WHO), Saudi Arabia floods the market with oil. As a result, international prices drop with more than 20% in one single…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – During the Cold War, a group of atomic scientists began publishing the Doomsday Clock, a representation of how far away the world was from man-made destruction. It was originally set at seven minutes to midnight but has since been readjusted to between 17 and two minutes to, without quite ticking on to Armageddon. More than a decade since the global financial crisis, real estate investors are rather like the…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Is this a buying opportunity or the half-way stage in a larger slump? The truth is we don’t know, so we have constructed a range of scenarios that see the S&P 500 anywhere between 1400 and 3000 in 12 months. A probability-weighted approach, adjusted for the recent change in cross-asset correlations, leads to a bar-bell approach in our Model Asset Allocation that favors gold and cash among defensive assets…