Nigerian Economy and Financial Market: After Elections… What Next?

Nigerian Economy and Financial Market: After Elections… What Next?

After Elections  …What Next? Nigeria’s macroeconomic scene in recent times has been laden with issues surrounding the domestic polity in anticipation of the upcoming elections in March and April. Election campaigns are getting more intense with no one actually sure of which of the two major political parties will carry the day. Falling oil prices still continues to pressure the fiscal stability of government whilst Naira stability is continually tensed on the back of falling external…

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How to make the most of strong trends with breakouts

How to make the most of strong trends with breakouts

WITH trends picking up steam over the last couple of months, we have seen the return of an old and familiar trading strategy: breakouts. The breakout was one of the first trading techniques I learned and it’s one of the easiest to understand. The idea is that the price trend of the asset we want to trade will remain in place. When the trend is bullish, we should buy when price breaks out above a…

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Frontier Markets Debt May Dodge Fed Bullet

Frontier Markets Debt May Dodge Fed Bullet

Sovereign debt issuance from frontier markets this year may not reach last year’s record levels but new bonds are still likely to be warmly received by investors, says Steffen Reichold, a portfolio manager at Stone Harbor Investment Partners, which manages around $45 billion in frontier- and emerging-markets debt. With the U.S. Federal Reserve likely to begin raising interest rates later this year, countries are feeling pressure to issue debt while yields are still relatively low, Reichold says….

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Africa Executives Welcome Thiam Move, Say There Should Be More

Africa Executives Welcome Thiam Move, Say There Should Be More

JOHANNESBURG – African business leaders cheered Tidjane Thiam’s appointment as chief executive of Swiss banking giant Credit Suisse Group AG this week. So far, though, Mr. Thiam’s ascent to the top of a western multinational looks like the exception to the rule that executives from the continent still don’t reach the top of the global corporate elite. “He’s a great leader who happens to have roots in Africa. At some point we need to get to…

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Nigeria: Weakening Economic Outlook Driven by Low Oil Prices

Nigeria: Weakening Economic Outlook Driven by Low Oil Prices

Introduction The recent sharp drop in oil prices is taking a heavy toll on Nigeria, the sixth largest net exporter of oil in the world. In 2015, economic activity is projected to slow and the fiscal and current accounts are expected to deteriorate. Although Nigeria has some room to live with higher fiscal and current account deficits in the short term, the economy has limited fiscal and external buffers (low levels of the Excess Crude…

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How to make use of compounding in your FX trading

How to make use of compounding in your FX trading

ALBERT Einstein reportedly said that compound interest is “the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it… he who doesn’t… pays it.” There are examples of compounding in FX. One FXCM client, for instance, invested $14,000 over the last two years and made a $100,000 return. How? First, they held positions for 28 days on average. Second, the trader would only trade in line with strong trends. Finally, they would add to…

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Managing Capital Flows: Lessons from Emerging Markets for Frontier Economies

Managing Capital Flows: Lessons from Emerging Markets for Frontier Economies

Capital flows, and their successful management, have long been a focus of the IMF’s work and policy advice. Indeed, when John Maynard Keynes and Harry Dexter White—the principal architects of Bretton Woods—were discussing the IMF’s Articles of Agreement, they clashed on many points, but they were surprisingly in agreement when it came to cross-border capital flows. Both men took as their starting point that, as White said, “the desirability of encouraging the flow of productive…

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