Economy

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) — South Africa’s near-term economic outlook is highly dependent on the development of the coronavirus pandemic and the extent of restrictions on business activity to limit the spread, the Reserve Bank said. The government implemented a strict lockdown to curb the virus on March 27. For five weeks, almost all activity, except essential services, were shuttered and most citizens were only allowed to leave their homes only to buy food,…

NAIROBI (Capital Markets in Africa) — Kenya’s economy will contract for the first time in almost three decades, according to the International Monetary Fund. The lender now sees gross domestic product shrinking by 0.3% in 2020, compared with an April projection of 1% growth, according to a regional economic outlook update published Monday. That will be the first annual contraction since 1993. The economy will expand 4% next year, the IMF said, down from 6.1% projected two…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — Africa’s largest economy had a week of good and bad news as the oil price rebounded to the highest level in two months, while the negative impact of the coronavirus pandemic on consumers and business activity became clearer. Crude prices have doubled since hitting a two-decade low in April, climbing past $40 a barrel after OPEC+ cuts started taking excess supplies from the market. With oil bringing in 90%…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — For advanced economies dealing with economic disruptions from the coronavirus pandemic, the response of choice has been massive stimulus packages. Africa is doing without them. While central banks and governments in North America, Asia and Europe have offered trillions of dollars to prop up businesses hit by lockdowns and provide a safety net for the swelling ranks of the unemployed, a lack of liquidity restricts African governments from providing…

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) — South Africa’s government announced plans to further ease a nationwide lockdown as the fallout from shuttering much of the economy threatens to outweigh the damage wrought by the coronavirus. Consultations will begin in the coming days about moving most of the country to disease alert level 3 by the end of the month, from level 4, and allow a number of additional industries to resume operations, President Cyril Ramaphosa…

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) — Business leaders are ratcheting up pressure on South African President Cyril Ramaphosa to reopen the economy more swiftly, warning that the devastation wreaked by a lockdown aimed at curbing the spread of the coronavirus could exceed the damage caused by the pandemic itself. Africa’s most industrialized economy was brought to a near halt on March 27 as the government sought to prevent a surge of infections swamping an already…

ADDIS ABABA (Capital Markets in Africa) — Moody’s Investors Service (“Moody’s”) has downgraded the long-term issuer and senior unsecured ratings of the Government of Ethiopia to B2 from B1 and placed the ratings on review for further downgrade. The downgrade to B2 reflects heightened external and government liquidity risks further aggravated by the coronavirus outbreak which has severely hit the economy’s foreign currency receipts, raised the government’s spending needs, and curtailed its financing options. Ethiopia…