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GLOBAL INSIGHT: Covid Debt of Emerging Nations — Who’s at Risk?
JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) — In 2020, emerging market debt rocketed higher. Has necessary pandemic stimulus planted the seeds of future fiscal crisis? Bloomberg Economics’ analysis shows South Africa is vulnerable but Brazil, India, Indonesia, Mexico, and Russia are less exposed. Persistently low-interest rates partially offset the impact of higher borrowing. An increase in interest rates would raise the pressure, but from current low levels, the impact is likely manageable. Most of the debt…
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