Banking

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — A Bank of England rate cut next month is starting to look like an attractive outside bet. A third national lock-down in the U.K. is the overwhelmingly positive sentiment on the vaccine rollout and threatening to drag the economy into a double-dip recession. As a result, expectations are rising the BOE will ease policy at its Feb. 4 meeting. The widely held view that support is likely to come…

LAGOS(Capital Markets in Africa) — Big U.S. banks have gone from losers to leaders in the stock market, rebounding from a pandemic-induced pummeling as investors anticipate a surge in federal spending in 2021 and look ahead to this week’s earnings-season kickoff. Whether they maintain that momentum depends on the success of President-elect Joe Biden’s agenda, Federal Reserve monetary policy and how quickly Covid-19 is brought to heel. Investors have been optimistic about economic growth, with…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — Central banks are set to spend 2021 maintaining their ultra-easy monetary policies even with the global economy expected to accelerate away from last year’s coronavirus-inflicted recession. In Bloomberg’s quarterly review of monetary policy that covers 90% of the world economy, no major western central bank is expected to hike interest rates this year. China, India, Russia, and Mexico are among those predicted to cut their benchmarks even further. Only…

CASABLANCA (Capital Markets in Africa) — Morocco held its benchmark interest rate at an all-time low of 1.5%, awaiting signs the economy is recovering from the pandemic. The move by the central bank Tuesday was expected after the North African nation signaled it may dial back a recent borrowing spree, freeing up liquidity in the domestic debt market and blunting the need for an immediate cut. It’s the second consecutive hold after a record easing…

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) — It’s not just the pandemic that’s putting Nigerian bank earnings at risk: Competition for customers in the recession-hit economy is driving interest rates on loans lower. Mid-tier lender FCMB Group Plc is forecasting that first-quarter earnings will fall more than 20% as rates decline, pushing the Lagos-based bank to accelerate lending to compensate for the profit squeeze. Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, Nigeria’s biggest bank by market value, reported flat interest income for the…

LONDON (Capital Markets in Africa) — Global central banks are embarking on fresh waves of bond-buying to fight the fallout from the pandemic, despite mounting claims that the once-mighty policy is losing its power to boost the economy. The U.S. Federal Reserve, Bank of England, Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank have splurged $5.6 trillion this year alone on quantitative easing, according to Bloomberg Economics. The ECB is expected to increase its own purchase plans by…