What African Central Bankers May Decide in the Next 2 Weeks

What African Central Bankers May Decide in the Next 2 Weeks

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Central banks in sub-Saharan Africa’s largest economies could start diverging on policy when they make interest-rate calls in the next two weeks after oil prices pushed up inflation. Since the Monetary Policy Committees last met, inflation in Ghana and Kenya accelerated and analysts flagged that the South African economy probably contracted in the first quarter. Oil is adding to cost pressures and countering the positive effects of portfolio inflows and the support to…

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OPEC Signals Intention to Keep Limits on Oil Supply All Year

OPEC Signals Intention to Keep Limits on Oil Supply All Year

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Saudi Arabia and other key producers in OPEC signaled their intention to keep oil supplies constrained for the rest of the year, while pledging to prevent any genuine shortages. It was less clear how far Russia, their main partner in the wider OPEC+ producers’ coalition, shared that view. While most nations at a meeting in the kingdom on Sunday supported extending production cuts to the end of 2019, Russian…

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Saudis See Tepid Demand to Replace Iran Oil After U.S. Sanctions

Saudis See Tepid Demand to Replace Iran Oil After U.S. Sanctions

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Saudi Arabia isn’t seeing as much demand for oil as expected from Iran’s customers, as a lot of crude has been leaving the Persian nation without being accounted for since the U.S. imposed sanctions on Tehran. Nobody knows how much oil Iran is producing or exporting, Saudi Arabian Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih said after the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee of OPEC and its allies met in the western Saudi city of…

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Trade War’s Hammerlock on Bond Market Puts Lower Yields in Sight

Trade War’s Hammerlock on Bond Market Puts Lower Yields in Sight

NEW YORK (Capital Markets in Africa) – Benchmark Treasuries enter the coming week with yields plumbing their 2019 lows, leaving bond bulls emboldened as the standoff between the U.S. and China drags on. With a trade deal between the world’s two largest economies moving further out of view just as global economic growth is ebbing, and political angst building in Europe, Treasuries are exerting a magnetic pull for investors seeking safety. Short-term yields are hovering at the lowest in…

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Why China’s U.S. Treasuries Are a Double-Edged Sword

Why China’s U.S. Treasuries Are a Double-Edged Sword

NEW YORK (Capital Markets in Africa) – It’s the biggest pile of debt in the world — the $15.9 trillionU.S. Treasuries market. It’s been built with the help of foreign central banks and investors, who have clamored to buy U.S. government bonds through good times and bad. But what happens if their appetite wanes? Both China and Japan — the biggest foreign owners of Treasuries — have pared their holdings from the record levels of…

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How Nigeria Can Avert a Looming Tsunami of Poverty: Noah Smith

How Nigeria Can Avert a Looming Tsunami of Poverty: Noah Smith

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Nigeria is a much more important country than most people in the U.S. probably realize. With more than 190 million people, it’s Africa’s largest country by far (Ethiopia, the second-largest, has a little more than half as many). And with a fertility rate of about 5.5 children per woman, among the world’s highest, Nigeria is only going to grow in importance — by the century’s end, the country is projected to…

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India and Africa: The way forward for two potential economic giants

India and Africa: The way forward for two potential economic giants

 LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – After seven decades, the fifty-five African states are trying to sincerely decide on their own future course through greater and definitive integration. Several regional organisations were conceived of whom some function more actively and comprehensively than the others especially in the domain of economy and trade. Several regional groups have overlapping entities and overarching approaches which tended to confuse the effort with the expected outcomes. Africans have made sincere…

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