The Markets | - Part 237

Greece’s Secret Debt Evoked in Mozambique $1 Billion Hole

LAGOS, Nigeria, Capital Market in Africa — For some Africa watchers, Mozambique’s confession of a $1 billion debt hole seems strangely reminiscent of another country — one that’s also in contentious talks with the International Monetary Fund. The predicament reminds analysts including Rand Merchant Bank’s Nema Ramkhelawan-Bhana of Greece’s concealment of its true fiscal dilemma in the late 1990s and early 2000s. The IMF said last week that Mozambique failed to disclose government-guaranteed loans provided by Credit Suisse Group…

Exotix Says Nigeria is `Uninvestable’ Due to Currency Policy

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LAGOS, Nigeria, Capital Markets in Africa — Nigerian foreign-exchange controls are undermining political reforms by President Muhammadu Buhari and making the country “uninvestable” for buyers who measure returns in dollars, Exotix Partners LLP said. The reorganization of the state oil company’s structure, changes to the nation’s bureaucracy and Buhari’s efforts to curb corruption all point to “root and branch” changes to the country’s governance structures, Hasnain Malik, head of frontier markets strategy at London-based Exotix, said in an interview…

Kenyan Equity Valuations Buoyed by Low Oil, Politics — Exotix

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Nairobi, Kenya, Capital Markets in Africa — Kenya equity valuations that declined over the past year are now among the most attractive in sub-Saharan African frontier markets, supported by the lowest political risk in a decade and favorable global conditions, analysts from Exotix Partners LLP said. Lower oil prices, which benefit net crude importers like Kenya, and the prospect that the timing of U.S. interest-rate increases have been pushed out are expected to foster a “relatively benign environment…

Ghana’s Biggest IPO Said to Raise 450 Million Cedis for Lender

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ACCRA, Ghana, Capital Markets in Africa — Agricultural Development Bank Limited raised 450 million cedis ($119 million), the largest initial public offering in Ghana’s history, last month, according to two people familiar with the deal. The bank raised more than the target of almost 400 million cedis, said the people, who asked not to be identified because regulators are still reviewing the results. ADB will use 300 million cedis for capital and the rest to pay shareholders,…

Algeria launches local bond issue to offset energy earnings drop

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Algiers, Algeria, Capital Markets in Africa — Algeria’s first local bond issue in years was opened on Sunday with the government hoping to secure new financing sources after a sharp drop in world oil prices has cut energy earnings that make up 60 percent of its budget. Algeria’s government has already started to cut back some state-subsidised energy services, reduced its 2015 and 2016 public spending and frozen some infrastructure projects. The bond issue, with…

Zambia’s World-Beating Kwacha Shows Copper Can Outshine Gold

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LUSAKA, Zambia, Capital Markets in Africa — Zambia’s kwacha has gone from the world’s third-worst performance in 2015 to the best this year, outshining gold, silver and 150 other other currencies and precious metals tracked by Bloomberg. Further gains are in store as copper prices recover, according to ETM Analytics. The currency of Africa’s second-biggest copper producer has advanced 19.9 percent against the dollar in 2016, surpassing gold’s 16.3 percent gain, after slumping 42 percent in 2015….

Nigerian MSCI Exit May Risk $500 Million Holdings, RenCap Says

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Lagos, Nigeria, Capital Markets in Africa — MSCI Inc.’s decision to consider dropping Nigeria from its Frontier Markets Index has put $500 million of stock investments in Africa’s biggest economy under threat, according to Renaissance Capital Ltd. Investors following the index have $500 million staked in Nigeria, half what they would have if they were properly tracking the benchmark, and those holdings are “under threat” should MSCI exclude Nigeria, according to Charles Robertson, chief economist at…

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