Angolan Banking sector resilient to macroeconomic shocks

Angolan Banking sector resilient to macroeconomic shocks

LUANDA (Capital Markets in Africa) – The International Monetary Fund considered that the heavy reliance of Angolan banks on the oil sector constitutes a key risk, mainly for state-owned banks, while private banks are better positioned to weather the impact of an oil shock given their initial strong position. It indicated that the main channel of transmission of an oil shock is through fiscal activity, as lower oil prices would contain public spending and weaken non-hydrocarbon sector activity and,…

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Emerging Markets Have Many Tools, Few Good: A. Gary Shilling

Emerging Markets Have Many Tools, Few Good: A. Gary Shilling

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – The rising U.S. dollar and higher interest rates are pummelling emerging markets. Foreign investors who rode the big rally in these markets in 2016 and 2017 see little reason to stick around and are leaving en masse. This shift will probably persist since dollar-denominated obligations make up some 75 percent of the trillions of dollars in developing-economy debt.   True, cheaper currencies versus the greenback aid developing economies by…

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South Africa Inflation Eases; Food Costs Up Least Since 2013

South Africa Inflation Eases; Food Costs Up Least Since 2013

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa’s inflation rate fell in May as food prices rose at the slowest pace since 2013, reducing chances that the central bank will increase interest rates later this year. Consumer prices climbed 4.4 percent from a year earlier compared with 4.5 percent in April, Pretoria-based Statistics South Africa said Wednesday in a report on its website. The median estimate in a Bloomberg survey was 4.6 percent. Prices of food and…

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StanChart Chairman Says Bank Acts `Decisively’ on Misconduct

StanChart Chairman Says Bank Acts `Decisively’ on Misconduct

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – Standard Chartered Plc Chairman Jose Vinals defended the bank’s culture, insisting the emerging markets-focused lender has acted swiftly and “decisively” to root out misconduct. His comments, in an interview in Lagos, Nigeria, come after a number of top executives in charge of policing behaviour at the bank were themselves disciplined or investigated for allegations of harassment or inappropriate conduct, people familiar with the matter said earlier this month. Vinals said any instances…

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Morocco Central Bank Holds Rates, Citing Inflation Prospects

Morocco Central Bank Holds Rates, Citing Inflation Prospects

CASABLANCA (Capital Markets in Africa) – Morocco’s central bank kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged despite rising inflation that’s prompted a damaging product boycott. The central bank kept the key rate at 2.25 percent, citing medium-term inflation and growth prospects. Last month the general affairs minister said the economy could withstand annual price growth of as much as 3 percent, above the 2.7 percent reached in April that was near a five-year high. Spurred by temporary…

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South Africa May Raise Rate If Weak Rand Boosts CPI, SARB Says

South Africa May Raise Rate If Weak Rand Boosts CPI, SARB Says

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – The rand’s plunge to the weakest in almost seven months against the dollar may push up South African inflation and require interest-rate increases, central bank Deputy Governor Kuben Naidoo said. While the South African Reserve Bank doesn’t target a specific level of the rand, it responds to second-round effects on prices from currency weakness, Naidoo said in an interview with Bloomberg TV in Sintra, Portugal, on Tuesday. South African Reserve Bank Deputy Governor…

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South Africa’s Rand Pares Gain as Inflation Unexpectedly Slows

South Africa’s Rand Pares Gain as Inflation Unexpectedly Slows

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa’s rand pared an advance against the dollar and benchmark bond yields extended a drop as traders cut bets on an interest-rate increase this year after inflation unexpectedly slowed last month. Growth in the consumer price index eased to 4.4 percent in May, from 4.5 percent the previous month. The median estimate of economists in a Bloomberg survey was for the inflation rate to accelerate to 4.6 percent….

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