Kenya to Lower Growth Forecast as Drought Cuts Food Output

Kenya to Lower Growth Forecast as Drought Cuts Food Output

NAIROBI (Capital Markets in Africa) – Kenya will cut its growth forecast to reflect the impact of a drought that slashed agricultural output in East Africa’s biggest economy and left the country short of its staple food, Treasury Secretary Henry Rotich said. Economic growth will probably be 5.7 percent this year, compared with an earlier estimate of 5.9 percent to 6 percent, Rotich, 48, said in an interview Wednesday at his office in the capital, Nairobi. The…

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Egypt Annual Inflation Eases for First Time Since Pound Float

Egypt Annual Inflation Eases for First Time Since Pound Float

CAIRO (Capital Markets in Africa) – Egypt’s monthly inflation rate held steady in May, offering new indications that the price surges triggered by last year’s decision to lift foreign exchange restrictions were plateauing as the government pushes ahead with economic reform efforts. The month-on-month urban inflation rate rose 1.7 percent , unchanged from April. The annual rate eased to 29.7 percent from 31.5 percent in April, its first reversal since October, the month before the…

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South Africa Unexpectedly Tips Into Second Recession in 8 Years

South Africa Unexpectedly Tips Into Second Recession in 8 Years

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa’s economy fell into a recession for the first time since 2009 after it contracted for a second straight quarter in the first three months of the year as all bar two industries shrank. Gross domestic product receded an annualized 0.7 percent in the first quarter from a contraction of 0.3 percent in the previous three months, Statistics South Africa said in a report released on Tuesday in the capital,…

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South Africa Gets S&P Reprieve as Local Debt Averts Junk

South Africa Gets S&P Reprieve as Local Debt Averts Junk

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – S&P Global Ratings left its assessment of South Africa’s foreign-currency debt at the highest junk level and its rand bonds at the lowest investment grade, granting the country a reprieve after a downgrade in April. The foreign-currency rating was affirmed at BB+, S&P said in a statement Friday. The assessment on rand debt, which comprises about 90 percent of the country’s portfolio, was maintained at BBB-. The outlook on both…

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South Africa Avoids a Second Fitch Cut as Rating Affirmed

South Africa Avoids a Second Fitch Cut as Rating Affirmed

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa avoided a second downgrade in two months from Fitch Ratings Ltd. as the company left its assessment of the nation’s debt at the highest non-investment grade. The local- and foreign-currency ratings were affirmed at BB+, Fitch said in an emailed statement Thursday. The outlook on both assessments was kept at stable. Fitch and S&P Global Ratings cut their assessments of South Africa’s foreign-currency debt to the highest junk level in…

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Assessing Uganda’s Fiscal and Monetary Policies in 2017 and beyond

Assessing Uganda’s Fiscal and Monetary Policies in 2017 and beyond

KAMPALA (Capital Markets in Africa) – Uganda’s rate of growth, though positive, has slowed over the past few years to average 4.5 percent in the last five years compared to 7.4 percent in the preceding period. Core inflation has been in line with the target of 5 percent over the medium term, with the few deviations from the target arising largely from supply side shocks caused by developments on the global scene as well as…

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South Africa Inflation at 17-Month Low Shows End to Rate Hikes

South Africa Inflation at 17-Month Low Shows End to Rate Hikes

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa’s inflation rate fell within the central bank’s target band in April for the first time in eight months, reinforcing chances that the rate-increase cycle may have come to an end. Consumer-price inflation eased to 5.3 percent from 6.1 percent in March, Statistics South Africa said in a report released Wednesday in the capital, Pretoria. That’s the lowest rate since December 2015 and compares with the median estimate of 5.6 percent by…

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