Egypt Economy: Four Tailwinds for Economic Growth in 2018

Egypt Economy: Four Tailwinds for Economic Growth in 2018

CAIRO (Capital Markets in Africa) – Egypt’s economy took a battering after the revolution of 2011, with annual growth declining to 3.1% in 2011-16 from an average of 6.2% in 2005-10. But the economy should recover in 2018, helped by four tailwinds: declining inflation, lower interest rates, recovering tourism and gas production from a new field. Egypt’s macroeconomic conditions were dire in 2016. Foreign currency was in short supply, resulting in the emergence of a…

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Kenyan Inflation Rate Rises for First Month in Five in January

Kenyan Inflation Rate Rises for First Month in Five in January

NAIROBI (Capital Markets in Africa) – Kenyan inflation accelerated for the first month in five in January as corn prices rose and crude costs increased. Consumer prices climbed 4.8 percent from a year earlier, the Kenya National Bureau of Statistics said Wednesday in a statement emailed from the capital, Nairobi. Prices advanced 1.3 percent in the month. A government-imposed cap on commercial lending rates, a drought and two disputed elections have weighed on economic growth in…

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Moody’s changes outlook on Zambia’s B3 rating to stable from negative, affirms rating

Moody’s changes outlook on Zambia’s B3 rating to stable from negative, affirms rating

London (Capital Markets in Africa) – Moody’s Investors Service, (“Moody’s”) has today changed the rating outlook for the Government of Zambia to stable from negative and affirmed its B3 long-term issuer rating. The stable outlook reflects reduced government liquidity pressures and a slowdown in government debt accumulation which Moody’s expects to continue. The B3 rating balances a strong growth potential boosted by ample natural resources and a young and growing population against continuing credit challenges…

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South Africa Core Inflation Rate Drops to Six-Year Low

South Africa Core Inflation Rate Drops to Six-Year Low

JOHANNESBURG (Capital Markets in Africa) – South Africa’s central bank may return to the interest rate-cutting cycle it started last year as core inflation slowed to the lowest in six years and headline price growth stayed close to the mid-point of the target range in December. The inflation rate rose to 4.7 percent from 4.6 percent the previous month, the Pretoria-based Statistics South Africa said on its website Wednesday. That’s in line with the median of 20…

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Nigeria May Cut Interest Rates Before July, Emefiele Says

Nigeria May Cut Interest Rates Before July, Emefiele Says

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Nigeria’s central bank could start cutting interest rates in the first half of the year as inflation eases, Governor Godwin Emefiele said. Once inflation gets to low double digits “and high single digit happens, then it should be easy for MPC to begin to look at easing,” Emefiele said Wednesday in an interview at his office in Abuja, the capital. “I want to think that between the end of the first…

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The Economy’s So Rosy, Let’s Talk About Recession

The Economy’s So Rosy, Let’s Talk About Recession

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – We don’t know what will cause it, or when. But it’s coming, and central banks are unprepared. Although the world economy is in its eighth year of expansion, a casual observer might be forgiven for thinking things have just got going. Don’t worry; they will keep going for a while, according to the International Monetary Fund, which released an update to its World Economic Outlook this week. Thank the…

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Nigeria’s Political Deadlock Threatens Economic Rebound

Nigeria’s Political Deadlock Threatens Economic Rebound

LAGOS (Capital Markets in Africa) – Nigeria’s central bank has fallen victim to a battle between President Muhammadu Buhari and his parliament. The Monetary Policy Committee won’t meet as scheduled this week because it lacks a quorum after the Senate refused to approve Buhari’s nominees for the panel, meaning the central bank couldn’t formally set interest rates. That setback adds to the economic fallout from a longstanding political standoff: lawmakers are threatening to delay his budget for a third year…

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